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2024-09-06T16:31:03+00:00

#Latest Nate Silver's forecast (chance of winning)

August 23
🟦 Harris: 53.5%
🟥 Trump: 46.1%

September 6
🟥 Trump: 61.5%
🟦 Harris: 38.3%
——
Swing States: chance of winning

Pennsylvania - 🔴 Trump 62-38%
Michigan - 🔴 Trump 52-48%
Wisconsin - 🔴 Trump 52-48%
Arizona - 🔴 Trump 75-25%
North Carolina - 🔴 Trump 74-26%
Georgia - 🔴 Trump 67-33%
Nevada - 🔴 Trump 59-41%
——
@polymarket odds
🟥 Trump: 53%
🟦 Harris: 45%

Polymarket swing states odds 👇
https://t.co/rDzcdHGsvA

Line graph depicting the probability of winning the 2024 presidential election for Trump and Harris, based on 40,000 simulations. The red line represents Trump, starting below the blue line (Harris) but eventually crossing over and rising to 61.5% probability, while the blue line (Harris) descends to 38.3%. The table below shows: Harris with a 38.3% Electoral College probability, 58.1% popular vote probability, 260.1 predicted electoral votes, and 49.9% predicted popular vote share; Trump with a 61.5% Electoral College probability, 41.9% popular vote probability, 277.9 predicted electoral votes, and 49.0% predicted popular vote share.

t.co

Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Predictions

2024 Presidential Election Predictions. Trust markets, not presidential polls. Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.

Information

Original Post Date	Friday, September 6, 2024, 12:31 pm EDT
Capture Date	Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 03:26 am EDT
TRUTH Social status ID	`113091560282221794`
Original URL	https://truthsocial.com/@IAPolls2022/113091560282221794

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Line graph depicting the probability of winning the 2024 presidential election for Trump and Harris, based on 40,000 simulations. The red line represents Trump, starting below the blue line (Harris) but eventually crossing over and rising to 61.5% probability, while the blue line (Harris) descends to 38.3%. The table below shows: Harris with a 38.3% Electoral College probability, 58.1% popular vote probability, 260.1 predicted electoral votes, and 49.9% predicted popular vote share; Trump with a 61.5% Electoral College probability, 41.9% popular vote probability, 277.9 predicted electoral votes, and 49.0% predicted popular vote share.